Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.044299 1.173019 1.313192 1.477461 1.665056 1.873023 2.121613
2026-02-01 0.805550 0.967104 1.156567 1.396231 1.692816 2.049719 2.514619
2026-02-08 0.660369 0.835727 1.053910 1.347535 1.735707 2.235947 2.936922
2026-02-15 0.562986 0.744168 0.980940 1.316609 1.786026 2.427769 3.386374
2026-02-22 0.512721 0.704388 0.966072 1.354880 1.927183 2.753346 4.063336
2026-03-01 0.464887 0.660285 0.937379 1.366336 2.026960 3.028099 4.703514
2026-03-08 0.414688 0.606027 0.886367 1.336091 2.056669 3.196538 5.198249
2026-03-15 0.372566 0.558564 0.839200 1.304167 2.076595 3.347710 5.682142
2026-03-22 0.356648 0.548883 0.847822 1.359950 2.243418 3.758923 6.677768
2026-03-29 0.338946 0.534246 0.846461 1.398067 2.383539 4.141024 7.681556
2026-04-05 0.321330 0.517784 0.839998 1.425877 2.507587 4.509023 8.718021
2026-04-12 0.301186 0.495094 0.820599 1.428175 2.584287 4.797312 9.641293
2026-04-19 0.277166 0.464711 0.786895 1.404250 2.615193 5.014420 10.485350
2026-04-26 0.250102 0.426773 0.736597 1.344390 2.569672 5.074399 11.003848
2026-05-03 0.228876 0.397375 0.698936 1.304478 2.559016 5.205276 11.711642
2026-05-10 0.211648 0.373710 0.669563 1.277389 2.571029 5.386045 12.574612
2026-05-17 0.204365 0.367723 0.672666 1.315553 2.726284 5.907254 14.392958
2026-05-24 0.194496 0.355956 0.663469 1.327124 2.824576 6.313125 16.003345
2026-05-31 0.180999 0.336069 0.636515 1.298042 2.826933 6.490854 17.033894
2026-06-07 0.168553 0.317255 0.610074 1.267211 2.821157 6.647623 18.040932
2026-06-14 0.165588 0.317052 0.621460 1.321259 3.024967 7.368378 20.882847
2026-06-21 0.161087 0.313336 0.625146 1.358178 3.191976 8.022105 23.691810
2026-06-28 0.155948 0.307871 0.624592 1.385107 3.337530 8.643370 26.564891